Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.044047 0.047936 0.051874 0.056151 0.060660 0.065265 0.070317
2025-07-20 0.037557 0.043222 0.049163 0.055834 0.063089 0.070717 0.079317
2025-07-27 0.033250 0.040221 0.047764 0.056475 0.066196 0.076657 0.088708
2025-08-03 0.030232 0.038247 0.047165 0.057714 0.069748 0.082947 0.098419
2025-08-10 0.025846 0.034294 0.043968 0.055699 0.069374 0.084658 0.102875
2025-08-17 0.022981 0.031848 0.042269 0.055183 0.070521 0.087937 0.108985
2025-08-24 0.020521 0.029669 0.040694 0.054636 0.071483 0.090890 0.114638
2025-08-31 0.019429 0.029085 0.040960 0.056223 0.074917 0.096691 0.123589
2025-09-07 0.018235 0.028263 0.040844 0.057272 0.077653 0.101643 0.131543
2025-09-14 0.017006 0.027295 0.040462 0.057920 0.079851 0.105925 0.138696
2025-09-21 0.015694 0.026115 0.039724 0.058049 0.081355 0.109336 0.144792
2025-09-28 0.015076 0.025837 0.040125 0.059602 0.084614 0.114874 0.153462
2025-10-05 0.013663 0.024376 0.038917 0.059064 0.085269 0.117287 0.158449
2025-10-12 0.012611 0.023361 0.038254 0.059197 0.086747 0.120708 0.164680
2025-10-19 0.011909 0.022811 0.038189 0.060093 0.089191 0.125327 0.172399
2025-10-26 0.011427 0.022559 0.038516 0.061501 0.092296 0.130786 0.181186
2025-11-02 0.009933 0.020625 0.036363 0.059454 0.090813 0.130414 0.182694
2025-11-09 0.009016 0.019537 0.035367 0.058942 0.091311 0.132522 0.187278
2025-11-16 0.008167 0.018489 0.034373 0.058383 0.091707 0.134473 0.191651
2025-11-23 0.007953 0.018501 0.034955 0.060050 0.095105 0.140305 0.200961
2025-11-30 0.007613 0.018267 0.035146 0.061149 0.097733 0.145151 0.209041
2025-12-07 0.007197 0.017866 0.035057 0.061828 0.099781 0.149246 0.216179
2025-12-14 0.006687 0.017256 0.034611 0.061964 0.101068 0.152340 0.222042